Complex Challenges & Resilience
Non-military security is a highly dynamic and ever-expanding component of the strategic environment. Our analyses cover various topics from hybrid influencing, terrorism, energy security, cyber, and new technologies. The ambition is to offer a society-wide approach and specific solutions for comprehensive resilience building.
Complex Challenges & Resilience Global Agenda
Unifying the “Collective West” – NATO Cooperation with South Korea
Dr Tomasz Smura, Member of the Board, Director of International Security and Defence Programme, Casimir Pulaski Foundation NATO Towards Asia...
Complex Challenges & Resilience Global Agenda Non-Military Security
Ghana after the Presidential Election: A Beacon of Democracy in a Turbulent Region
On December 7, 2024, Ghana held its presidential elections. The opposition leader and former president, John Mahama, secured a democratic...
Complex Challenges & Resilience Global Agenda Non-Military Security
Disinformation Resilience Index 2024: Central and Eastern Europe
How resilient are countries in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) and the Eastern Partnership (EaP) to the growing threat of...
Complex Challenges & Resilience Geopolitics Global Agenda Non-Military Security
What does Trump’s return to the White House mean for Africa?
Early next year, on January 20, 2025, Donald Trump, the incoming President of the United States, will be inaugurated into...
Global Agenda
How Mossad Paralysed Hezbollah: An Analysis of the Attack Using exploding pagers
A few weeks ago, the world was shaken by news of hundreds of exploding pagers in Lebanon, primarily belonging to...
Complex Challenges & Resilience Global Agenda Non-Military Security
Promises versus Reality in the Sahel: The Ongoing Struggle of Military Governments in Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger in the Fight Against Jihadists
Over the past four years, the Sahel has experienced a wave of military coups, with army officers seizing power and...
Complex Challenges & Resilience Global Agenda Military Affairs Strategy & Defence Technology and Innovations
Colombian youth recruited by rebels via TikTok
In Colombia, where the differences between social classes are palpable, the vision of money and wealth is tempting. As a...
Complex Challenges & Resilience Geopolitics Global Agenda Non-Military Security
Appeasement and Stabilitocracy: The EU–Serbia Lithium Deal
The EU and Serbia finalised a controversial lithium mining agreement essential for electric vehicle batteries. Amidst Serbia’s alignment with Russia...
Complex Challenges & Resilience Geopolitics Global Agenda Military Affairs Non-Military Security Strategic Thinking Strategy & Defence
Cybersecurity and the Defense Industry Should Become Priorities After NATO’s 2024 Summit
NATO’s 2024 summit is over; as always, it has brought forward multiple topics. Especially given the current turbulent geopolitical and...
Global Agenda Military Affairs
NATO is looking for ways to use the space for security and defence on Earth
At the end of April this year, the first-ever NATO Space Symposium on “Deterrence, Defence, and Resilience in and through...
Global Agenda Non-Military Security
Euro-elections exposed to populism and disinformation
Slovak voter turnout in the past (four) Euro-elections has always been the lowest among all member states. Current polls predict...
Global Agenda Military Affairs
Is Moscow preparing to deploy weapons of mass destruction in space?
Russia vetoed a resolution in the UN Security Council to ban weapons of mass destruction (WMD) in outer space despite...
Geopolitics Global Agenda
Robert Fico in Azerbaijan: Will Slovakia become a bridge between Brussels and Baku?
The visit of Prime Minister Robert Fico and his delegation to Azerbaijan on 6-7 May 2024 represented a new impetus...
Global Agenda
How Russian propaganda exploits the tension between Zelensky and Zaluzhny
The failure of the summer offensive and the decreasing level of support from allies have led to growing tensions between...
Global Agenda Non-Military Security
Resilience or Rigidity? Putin’s Playbook for the 2024 Russian Election
Despite the ongoing war, on December 7, Russia’s Federation Council voted unanimously to hold a presidential election between March 15...
Global Agenda
Biden-Xi Jinping meeting: a search for a stable trajectory in US-China relations
The recent meeting between US President Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping in San Francisco that took place on 15...
Global Agenda
The European Commission invites Ukraine, Moldova and Bosnia and Herzegovina to join the EU. When will they become Member States?
The candidate countries under the enlargement policy have anticipated the European Commission’s assessment of their progress toward joining the European...
Global Agenda
The assassination of a Sikh community leader caused a serious diplomatic conflict between Canada and India and showed the fragility of the American-led coalition against China
On September 18, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau indirectly accused the Indian government of the June assassination of Sikh separatist...
Global Agenda
Is the definitive end of the unipolar world approaching? BRICS, a group of nations from the Global South, is trying to compete with the West
The geopolitical bloc comprising major emerging economies, known as BRICS, has successfully concluded its 15th consecutive summit, commencing on August...
Global Agenda
Beijing’s Reality Check: China’s economic slowdown and the end of Invincibility
China has officially fallen into deflation, with July’s consumer prices index falling by 0.3% compared with 2022, and the producer...
Geopolitics Global Agenda Non-Military Security
Climate Change Effects: The Growing Risks of Conflict and Instability
The current threat of climate change and its impacts is being felt in many parts of the world and presents...
Global Agenda Non-Military Security
Violence and drugs. Ecuador declares state of emergency after mayor’s murder and widespread prisoner revolt
On 24 July 2023, Ecuadorian President Guillermo Lasso declared a state of emergency in several provinces of the South American...
Global Agenda
The EU and Tunisia have concluded an agreement to tackle the issue of irregular migration. Does it violate human rights?
The leaders of the European Union and Tunisia signed an agreement aimed at combating illegal migration and strengthening their economic...
Global Agenda
German hawks’ risky melancholy: Do budget cuts threaten the domestic stability of Germany?
In recent weeks, a series of events has captured headlines in Germany and beyond. Among these, the introduction of a...
Global Agenda Military Affairs Strategic Thinking
NATO Public Forum 2023
On 11-12 July 2023, NATO’s Heads of State and Government will meet in Vilnius Lithuania, at the NATO Summit, to...
Global Agenda
“Thank You, Poland”? Warsaw courting controversy while building allies
“Thank you, Poland. Thank you, thank you, thank you for what you’re doing.” Just two years ago, these words spoken...
Global Agenda Non-Military Security
Syria’s return to the Arab League heralds international recognition of the Syrian regime of Bashar al-Assad
President Bashar al-Assad of the Syrian Arab Republic flew to Saudi Arabia on May 19 to attend the Arab League...
Global Agenda
Nine EU countries want to abolish unanimity in EU foreign policy decisions. What are the countries’ positions, and is it even realistic?
The group of nine Member States of the European Union (EU) has unveiled its latest initiative to streamline EU foreign...
Global Agenda Technology and Innovations
9 European countries have signed the Ostend Declaration on the massive promotion of wind energy. What exactly does the declaration entail, and what will be its consequences?
The Ostend Declaration reinforces the ambitions of European countries, which have committed to massive wind power generation targets, with an...
Global Agenda
The Brazilian president visited Beijing. The war in Ukraine may have united the West, but it has accelerated the loss of the global South to China
When Lula da Silva landed in Beijing, the capital of the People’s Republic of China, on 14 April 2023, he...
Global Agenda Non-Military Security
Netanyahu delays controversial judicial reform after mass protests
In response to the persistent and widespread demonstrations in Israel, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has paused his controversial judicial reform...
Geopolitics Global Agenda
The agreement on normalisation of relations opens the way for Kosovo and Serbia to join the EU. Russian influence may complicate the outcome of the negotiations
Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic and Kosovo Prime Minister Albin Kurti met in Ohrid, Macedonia, on Saturday, 18 March, to negotiate...
Geopolitics Global Agenda
Assad’s Quakeplomacy
On February 6 2023, a magnitude 7.8 earthquake struck southern and central Turkey and northern and western Syria. The quake...
Geopolitics Global Agenda Non-Military Security
From old foes to new partners? The implications of Iran-Saudi Arabia Rapprochement
On 10 March, Saudi Arabia and Iran announced a ground-breaking agreement to normalize diplomatic relations and reopen embassies in both...
Geopolitics Global Agenda
TV, leaders and bot farms: the underestimated but far-reaching Russian disinformation campaign in Italy
On May 1, 2022, 3 months after the start of the invasion of Ukraine, Russian FA ministry Sergei Lavrov was...
Global Agenda
US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken on a diplomatic tour of Central Asia. What is the US trying to achieve by returning to the “Great Game”?
Anthony John Blinken landed in Astana, the capital of Kazakhstan, on February 28, where he met with Kazakh officials. He...
Global Agenda
Bolsonaro supporters attack Brazilian congress: causes and consequences
On 8 January 2023, thousands of right-wing demonstrators broke through police barriers and forcibly entered the Brazilian Congress building, the...
Geopolitics Global Agenda Strategic Thinking
Andreas Umland: How the West Can Help Ukraine: Three Strategies for Achieving a Ukrainian Victory and Rebirth
Executive Summary The geopolitical salience of the Russia–Ukraine War and the remoteness of Ukraine’s accession to the European Union or...
Global Agenda Non-Military Security
The beginning of the end of the Venezuelan opposition? Guaido’s interim government dissolved
On December 31, the Venezuelan opposition voted to end the interim government of President Juan Guaidó. Guaidó was considered the...
Geopolitics Global Agenda
The EU got to an agreement with Hungary about €18bn aid package for Ukraine
At the beginning of December, the situation between the European Union and Hungary escalated. After Brussels recommended freezing €7,5 billion...
Global Agenda Non-Military Security
The US eased sanctions against Venezuela. The US company Chevron received permission to extract oil in the South American country
The US Treasury has issued a license to Chevron to expand its oil extraction in Venezuela. This license will be...
Global Agenda
The Biden-Xi summit is not a step towards friendship between China and the US, but it may bring a slight warming in relations between the great powers
US President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping met this month during the G20 summit on the Indonesian island...
Geopolitics Global Agenda
Peace talks may end bloody war in Ethiopian Tigray region
Delegates of the Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia and the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) met in Pretoria, South Africa...
Global Agenda
Serbia becomes a transfer station for migrants heading to the EU
In recent weeks, the number of migrants arriving in the member countries of the European Union has been increasing again....
Geopolitics Global Agenda Military Affairs
The second coup in Burkina Faso within a year creates the possibility of a rise in Russian influence in Africa
On Friday, September 30, 2022, army units in the capital of Burkina Faso, Ouagadougou, began to occupy key positions and...
Geopolitics Global Agenda Military Affairs Non-Military Security Strategic Thinking Technology and Innovations
Nord Stream pipelines could be damaged as a consequence of a sabotage
Nord Stream 1 and Nord Stream 2 gas pipelines were damaged by three explosions on Monday, September 26. Nord Stream...
Global Agenda
Turkey and Israel to restore full diplomatic ties after years of strained relations
Israeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid’s office announced on Wednesday, August 19, the full resumption of diplomatic ties with Turkey and...
Global Agenda Non-Military Security Technology and Innovations
Russia is looking for new ways to spread disinformation
After Russia invaded Ukraine last February, the European Union blocked Russia Today and Sputnik, Kremlin‘s two main channels that spread...
Geopolitics Global Agenda
The proposed changes to electoral law in Bosnia and Herzegovina sparked mass protests
At the end of July, mass protests broke out in Bosnia. It happened after the public got access to a...
Global Agenda
Taiwan hit by cyber-attacks during Pelosi’s visit
Several Taiwanese government websites were attacked by cyber-attacks that appeared to originate from China and Russia during a visit by...
Global Agenda Non-Military Security Technology and Innovations
Will Kazakhstan become the key to breaking the EU’s energy dependence on Russia?
Kazakhstan’s President Tokayev said in early July that the Central Asian country, rich in oil and gas, was keen to...
Global Agenda
Ethnic Cleansing in Ethiopia
Ethnic cleansing has further escalated the crisis in conflict-torn Ethiopia. The African country has been experiencing a bloody civil war...
Global Agenda
Japan intensifies its efforts to find new allies against the Chinese threat
Several countries in Southeast Asia show displeasure over the rising Chinese influence in the region. For some time they have...
Global Agenda
The fall of the pro-Western government in Bulgaria plays into the hands of Moscow
The Bulgarian government of Prime Minister Kiril Petkov collapsed in a no-confidence vote in parliament last week.The fall of the...
Global Agenda Military Affairs
Turkey has lifted its veto over Finland and Sweden’s bid to join NATO
Turkey has agreed to lift its veto on Sweden and Finland joining NATO, thus removing a key obstacle to the...
Global Agenda Non-Military Security
The global food crisis caused by Russia may lead to new waves of migration to the EU
The African Union (AU) states that have trade relations with the Russian Federation are concerned about the situation in Ukraine....
Geopolitics Global Agenda
Why does Turkey block Sweden and Finland from joining NATO?
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan reiterated on Saturday that Ankara continues to oppose the accession of Sweden and Finland to...
Global Agenda Strategic Thinking
The Case Against the Concept of Great Power Competition
Great power competition is a trendy concept that frames the current perception of international affairs held by many. As such,...